Security industry ushers in spring : the market size of year 2015 is expected to reach 500 billion Yuan .
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1、Security industry driven by muliple factors .
Chinese market of safe city is huge . In year 2011, the market size of safe city is about 80 billion Yuan, accounting for 30% of the domestic security market , but during the period of "the eleventh five year plan" , the security project of our country is still in its infancy . For example, the electronic police system covers only the first tier cities . The second and third tier cities are still based on artificial enforcement , per capita camera installation proportion being still very low . In "the twelfth five year plan" period , the construction of safe city will be spread out fully in accordance with the three- logic .
The security building of the second or third line city and rural area will become the new blue ocean in the rapid growth of security business during "the eleventh five year plan" . In "the eleventh five year plan" period , safe city in some cities is spreading out fully and has achieved significant effect .Driven by demonstration effect in these regions , security needs in the central and western provincial, deputy provincial cities and the eastern coastal cities are beginning to increase ,its scale so big not being inferior to the eastern coastal provinces and cities . As the public security awareness is being raised , the provincial safety building is promoted from point to surface ." safe countryside" construction will blossom in the provinces of China everywhere . For example , Hubei province police department requires that 100% of all the towns in the province complete the construction of video dynamic monitoring system in 2012 and rural defense coverage rate reach 100%.
The first tier cities upgrade and replacement demand . Safe city project is a very large and complex system engineering . At present , most of the first tier cities have only completed the initial construction . The problems facing includes the density of security equipment needs to be raised , equipment compatibility needs to be improved and the degree of intelligent equipment needs to be elevated . Therefore , the security system still has a lot of room for improvement . The demand for upgrading the system of first tier cities and replacement will become a major driving force of security industry development during "the twelfth five year plan" period .
Key projects start fully . During " the twelfth five year plan " period ,major public projects such as "safe city ""strengthening police construction engineering by science and technology ""31112 project " etc will continue to intensify the implementation force . Ministry of public security will enter the overall stage of promoting 3111 pilot project , direct investment approaching 100 billion Yuan .
Industry application needs .
The successful use of security products and the great value it creates will promote the deepening in the application of security products in various industries . In "the eleventh five year plan " period , the government is still the main force of security industry , occupying about 43% of the total output value ,occupying about 51% of industry application and being significantly lower than that of the average level in the world . During "the twelfth five year plan " period , the industry application of Chinas security product will appear surrounded by flowering prosperity .
In addition to the traditional areas such as finance , transportation , telecommunication , electricity etc , Chinas security product will maintain fast development .It will deepen the application in the field of medical , education and other fields .
Domestic market demand
Security application have been shifted from the traditional public places , the vital parts, industry uses , business users etc to safe city , digital city , emergency management , environmental security , information security , social home security and other areas , but the civilian market is far from outbreak . In 2011 , the value of China civilian security market was close to $14.4 billion , but only accounted for 6% of the gross output value . In the leading security market such as the United States , civilian market value accounts for more than 50% of the total worth , while the world average is about 10%.
In addition , Chinese per capita security product spending is far behind that of Europe , the United States , Japan and other developed countries , being 1/9 that of the United Kingdom , 1/7 that of the United States and 1/5 that of South Korea which China compared with a big gap .
2. Security industry market capacity forecast analysis .
In 2011 , the market scale of Chinese security industry reached 269.6 billion Yuan , an increase of 19.82% compared with that of the previous year . From 2006 to 2011 , the security industry size increased from 120 billion Yuan to 269.6 billion Yuan , a compound growth rate of 17.61% .Considering the risk of uncertainty about the future, a conservative estimate will be taking 15% as the minimum compound growth rate in the next five years .
Actually , after 2011 , safe China construction entered into the overall advance stage . The overall investment approaches 100 billion and the industry will in "the twelfth five years plan" period enter into the peak period of construction . Due to the different early market penetration of various segments , the market demand is expected in the future 5 years show 20%-80% growth rate and the overall annual growth rate will remain at around 20% . Therefore , we take 20% of growth rate as the highest compound growth rate in the next five years . According to estimate , in 2012 , the lowest scale of Chinese security market is 310 billion Yuan , while the maximum scale will reach 323.5 billion Yuan . By 2015, the lowest scale of Chinese security market is 471.5 billion Yuan , the maximum will reach 559 billion Yuan .
